Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000163 0.000176 0.000189 0.000204 0.000221 0.000239 0.000261
2024-10-27 0.000145 0.000163 0.000184 0.000210 0.000240 0.000275 0.000319
2024-11-03 0.000129 0.000150 0.000174 0.000204 0.000242 0.000288 0.000349
2024-11-10 0.000119 0.000141 0.000167 0.000201 0.000246 0.000302 0.000381
2024-11-17 0.000110 0.000133 0.000160 0.000198 0.000247 0.000313 0.000408
2024-11-24 0.000104 0.000128 0.000157 0.000198 0.000253 0.000329 0.000444
2024-12-01 0.000099 0.000123 0.000154 0.000197 0.000258 0.000344 0.000478
2024-12-08 0.000095 0.000120 0.000153 0.000199 0.000267 0.000364 0.000523
2024-12-15 0.000091 0.000115 0.000148 0.000196 0.000268 0.000373 0.000551
2024-12-22 0.000087 0.000112 0.000146 0.000196 0.000272 0.000388 0.000591
2024-12-29 0.000084 0.000110 0.000145 0.000198 0.000279 0.000407 0.000638
2025-01-05 0.000082 0.000108 0.000144 0.000200 0.000288 0.000429 0.000694
2025-01-12 0.000079 0.000104 0.000141 0.000197 0.000289 0.000440 0.000732
2025-01-19 0.000077 0.000104 0.000142 0.000202 0.000302 0.000473 0.000818
2025-01-26 0.000073 0.000099 0.000137 0.000197 0.000299 0.000476 0.000845
2025-02-02 0.000070 0.000096 0.000133 0.000194 0.000299 0.000486 0.000887
2025-02-09 0.000067 0.000092 0.000129 0.000191 0.000298 0.000492 0.000923
2025-02-16 0.000065 0.000090 0.000128 0.000191 0.000302 0.000510 0.000988
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000088 0.000126 0.000190 0.000306 0.000527 0.001051
2025-03-02 0.000062 0.000087 0.000126 0.000192 0.000314 0.000553 0.001144
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000085 0.000123 0.000189 0.000314 0.000562 0.001193
2025-03-16 0.000059 0.000083 0.000121 0.000189 0.000318 0.000581 0.001273
2025-03-23 0.000057 0.000082 0.000121 0.000191 0.000325 0.000607 0.001377